The 2020 A-level grading algorithm
What the chart shows
When exams in England were cancelled in 2020, an algorithm calculated A-level grades. Compared with 2019, the share of A* and A grades rose by 4.7 percentage points at independent schools, 2.0 at comprehensives and academies, and 0.3 at sixth-form, FE and tertiary colleges.
Why this may have happened
Larger classes were standardised against each school's results in previous years, so a student's grade depended heavily on how their school had done before. Classes of 15 or fewer relied more on teachers' grades. Small classes are more common in independent schools, and the Education Policy Institute noted the larger gains there may be linked to this rule.
Read with care
There were no exams in 2020, so no one can say which grades were "right". The chart shows who gained most, not proof that any group was treated unfairly. Ofqual's 2021 evaluation found no systematic disadvantage by students' socio-economic background or ethnicity, but its analysis left out classes of 15 or fewer.
AI-writing detectors
What the chart shows
Researchers ran seven AI-writing detectors on essays written by people: 91 TOEFL essays by non-native English writers and 88 essays by US eighth-grade students. On average, the detectors flagged 61% of the TOEFL essays as AI-written, compared with 5% of the US essays.
The researchers then used ChatGPT to change only the vocabulary. With richer vocabulary, the TOEFL essays were flagged 12% of the time. With simpler vocabulary, the US essays were flagged 57% of the time.
Why this may happen
Many detectors judge how predictable the word choices are, a measure called perplexity. AI tends to choose the most likely words, but so do writers with a narrower vocabulary. The detectors were responding to the words used, not to who wrote them.
Read with care
The samples were small, the TOEFL essays were short, and the detectors were those available in 2023; Turnitin's detector was not tested. Turnitin's own testing found no significant difference between English language learners and native speakers for texts of 300 words or more, but a larger difference for shorter texts.
References
- Education Policy Institute. (2020). Analysis: A level results day 2020. https://dera.ioe.ac.uk/id/eprint/36185/
- Liang, W., Yuksekgonul, M., Mao, Y., Wu, E., & Zou, J. (2023). GPT detectors are biased against non-native English writers. Patterns, 4(7), Article 100779. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.patter.2023.100779
- Ofqual. (2020, August 13). Guide to AS and A level results for England, 2020. GOV.UK. https://www.gov.uk/government/news/guide-to-as-and-a-level-results-for-england-2020
- Ofqual. (2021). Grading gaps in summer 2020: Who was affected by differences between centre assessment grades and calculated grades? GOV.UK. https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/evaluation-of-centre-assessment-grades-and-grading-gaps-in-summer-2020
- Schools Week. (2020, August 13). A-level results 2020: Private schools see biggest boost in top grades. https://schoolsweek.co.uk/a-level-results-2020-private-schools-see-biggest-boost-in-top-grades
- Turnitin. (2023, October 26). New research: Turnitin's AI detector shows no statistically significant bias against English language learners. https://www.turnitin.ca/blog/new-research-turnitin-s-ai-detector-shows-no-statistically-significant-bias-against-english-language-learners